Where exactly are home prices in Katy & Fulshear headed in 2026, and how should sellers in the Houston area prepare themselves?
At The Jamie McMartin Group, led by Jamie McMartin, we help Houston-area homeowners, particularly those in the fast-growing Katy, Fulshear corridor, navigate changing market conditions. In this post, we’ll explore real estate predictions for “where Katy & Fulshear prices are headed in 2026,” examine the relevant data from the Houston real estate market, and outline what home sellers should do now to position themselves smartly.
The market snapshot: what the data says for Katy & Fulshear
Before diving into predictions, let’s review how the markets in Katy and Fulshear have performed recently.
Katy, TX
- The median sale price in Katy was around $335,000 in September 2025, which was down 8.4% year-over-year.
- According to Zillow, the average home value in Katy was approximately $340,854, down 3.2% over the past year.
- Houston Association of Realtors (HAR) data shows that in June 2025 Katy’s median price was ~$350,782.
- A marketplace overview noted that while home values in Katy have appreciated steadily, growth has slowed relative to the rapid pace seen in 2020-2022.
These figures tell us that Katy’s market is still strong, but the pace of appreciation has moderated.
Fulshear, TX
- The median sale price in Fulshear was around $558,000 in September 2025, up 7.3% year-over-year.
- Zillow lists the average home value in the broader Fulshear area at ~$534,562, up only ~0.5% over the past year.
- Market data indicates that in June 2025 for Fulshear the median sold price was ~$530,000, up ~6% from the previous year.
- Inventory has increased, one report stated that Fulshear’s for-sale inventory rose ~5.2% month-over-month in June 2025.
In short: Fulshear continues to show respectable growth, especially compared to more moderated markets, but the variation across neighbourhoods and communities means strategy matters.
What 2026 could bring for Katy & Fulshear prices
Drawing on the data and the broader Houston real estate market context, here are our predictions for 2026, especially relevant if you’re considering selling a home in the Houston area.
1. Continued moderate price growth, not explosive
Neither Katy nor Fulshear appear poised for double-digit gains in 2026. Given the slowdown in appreciation and increased inventory, we anticipate moderate price growth in the range of 2% to 5% for many resale homes, potentially slightly higher for homes in top-tier communities or those that are move-in ready.
Why: The larger Houston metropolitan area is seeing increased inventory and a more balanced market. For example, active listings in Greater Houston surged ~38% year-over-year in July 2025.
Interpretation for sellers: You should not expect skyrocketing gains, but homes that are well-positioned, condition, location, price, will still capture strong value.
2. Premiums for move-in ready & high-demand locations
In both communities, homes that are well maintained, staged, and located in desirable sub-areas (good schools, amenities, master-planned communities) will outperform average. In Fulshear, for instance, certain master-planned areas such as Cross Creek Ranch saw year-over-year median price increases of ~9.4%.
For sellers: Investing in presentation, landscaping, and clear marketing can differentiate your home and help you capture that premium.
3. Inventory & buyer negotiation leverage will matter
With more listings and slower appreciation, buyers may have slightly more negotiation power in parts of the Katy/Fulshear market in 2026. Homes may take longer to sell unless priced and marketed well.
Action item: Work with a Houston real estate agent who understands the negotiation environment, and ensure your pricing allows for smart offers without stagnation.
4. Sub-micro-markets will outperform others
Within Katy and Fulshear, some neighbourhoods will outperform others based on infrastructure, proximity to jobs, school ratings, and master-planned community amenities. Homes in newer, amenity-rich developments may outperform older homes or those in less desirable pockets.
When working with The Jamie McMartin Group, we analyze your specific ZIP code and subdivision so your strategy taps into those high-momentum zones.
Implications for sellers planning a 2026 listing
If you’re gearing up to sell a home in Katy or Fulshear in 2026, here are some practical steps to align with the price-predictions and position yourself for success.
Perform an equity audit
- Estimate your current home value (we can assist with a comparative market analysis).
- Subtract your remaining mortgage and factoring in closing costs and any repairs.
- Identify your equity cushion and the price range where you’re comfortable listing.
Invest in seller-ready condition
- Cosmetic updates: paint, landscaping, lighting.
- Highlight your home’s strengths: lot size, golf course/amenity views, new build-quality features.
- Ensure your home stands out as a “ready-to-go” option in a balanced market.
Price strategically
- Set a competitive list price based on real data from your local sub-market, not just broad Katy/Fulshear averages.
- Let your Houston real estate agent (that’s us) recommend listing-price bands and anticipate likely negotiation zones.
Choose the right timing and marketing
- Listing earlier in the year (spring) may give you access to motivated buyers before new-build inventory and price shifts catch up.
- Use professional photos, video tours, and online marketing channels. Buyers in 2026 are more tech-savvy and price-sensitive than ever.
- Work with an agent who understands local school zones, community development, builder competition, and buyer profiles.
Set realistic expectations
- Growth of 2-5% is realistic for many homes, but it will vary. Be prepared for slight price adjustments, longer days on market, or negotiation on terms.
- High-end or highly sought-after homes in top neighbourhoods may outperform averages, but they may also see more scrutiny from buyers.
Why partnering with The Jamie McMartin Group Makes the difference
When market conditions shift, you need a Houston real estate agent who not only tracks the numbers, but acts strategically on them. Here’s how we deliver value:
- Localized expertise: Jamie McMartin and our team live and work in the Katy/Fulshear/Houston corridor. We know which communities are gaining momentum.
- Seller-centric strategy: We don’t just list homes; we craft a pre-listing plan that connects condition, value, pricing and marketing.
- Ethical and compliant service: We abide by Fair Housing, RESPA, NAR Code of Ethics, and Texas Real Estate Commission standards, ensuring a transparent and professional process.
- Data-driven insights: We use live market data and neighbourhood-specific metrics (e.g., days on market, price per square foot, list-to-sale ratio) to help sellers make informed decisions.
Summary: your 2026 price-trajectory can be optimized
To recap:
- Prices in Katy and Fulshear are expected to grow moderately in 2026, likely 2-5%, with stronger gains in top zones.
- Homes that are well-positioned, location, condition, presentation, will outperform.
- Inventory is increasing and buyer leverage is rising slightly, so pricing and strategy are more critical than ever.
- If you’re thinking of selling a home in the Houston area, especially Katy or Fulshear, now is the time to prepare with a trusted Houston real estate agent (like us) and avoid being caught off-guard by market shifts.
If you’re ready to find out what your home in Katy or Fulshear might sell for in 2026, or want to explore the tailored strategy required, contact The Jamie McMartin Group today. Let’s review your specific neighbourhood, evaluate your listing options, and craft a plan that positions you for success in the evolving Houston market.